The initial pome fruit crop estimate anticipated a 5% growth in export volumes, due to new orchards coming into production, however, the anticipated volumes did not materialise as the harvesting season progressed as fruit size in general and pack-out of fruit on tree were affected by a combination of drought and heatwave conditions.
Current volumes in storage combined with exports to date led to the downward adjustment for pome fruit export cartons. The newly calculated volumes indicate a decrease of between -6% to -9% compared to the previous season (refer to table below).
A decrease in export volumes of Golden Delicious (-11%), Granny Smith (-20%), Pink Lady (-29%) and Fuji (-16%) can directly be attributed to weather conditions impacting on colour development, fruit size, and pack-outs.
Pear export volumes are also down on initial projections. The decrease in export volumes of Williams Bon Chretien (-5%) is due to smaller fruit size, good demand from the canning industry and a lack of demand from the Northern Hemisphere importing countries. Packhams Triumph (-4%), Abate Fetel (-14%) and Vermont Beauty (-19%) are also down compared to last year. On the contrary export volumes of Forelle are in line with the previous season.
A tough season in terms of grower returns and profitability levels is anticipated as a result of the strengthening of the rand against the major currencies (US Dollar, UK Pound Sterling and Euro) in combination with the decrease in export volumes.
